دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 76.3% | +70.8 | 0.0 | $167K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes | 97.0% | +11.5 | +23.4 | $155K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes | 98.7% | +10.7 | +25.2 | $153K |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 13.8% | +9.1 | +10.2 | $230K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 10.5% | -9.0 | -8.0 | $762K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes | 90.5% | +9.0 | +49.0 | $200K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 46.5% | +8.0 | +12.0 | $309K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 14.5% | -8.0 | 0.0 | $155K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 26.4% | +7.1 | +10.9 | $425K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 43.3% | +5.3 | +2.9 | $177K |