دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 62.9% | +56.5 | 0.0 | $167K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes | 97.0% | +11.5 | +23.4 | $154K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes | 98.8% | +10.8 | +25.3 | $160K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 10.5% | -8.0 | -8.0 | $779K |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 12.0% | +7.8 | +8.5 | $227K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 26.4% | +7.4 | +10.9 | $425K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes | 90.5% | +7.0 | +49.0 | $200K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 43.3% | +5.1 | +2.9 | $186K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 45.0% | +4.5 | +10.5 | $301K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 14.5% | -4.0 | 0.0 | $163K |