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دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق

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أكبر تحرك في الاحتمالات

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes74.2%+62.10.0$167K
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth ScorchersSydney Thunder0.1%-54.90.0$140K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda LinetteMoyuka Uchijima0.1%-44.50.0$119K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes4.5%-18.0-9.0$168K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu LiAnna Blinkova100.0%+11.50.0$246K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes55.5%+11.0+23.0$311K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek KulambayevaMai Hontama70.5%-10.00.0$249K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes94.5%+8.0+11.5$193K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes43.5%+8.0+6.0$108K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?Yes47.5%+6.0+9.5$112K

الأكثر تداولاً (24 ساعة)

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.1%+1.8+1.9$628K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin HalysTommy Paul86.5%0.00.0$583K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes12.5%-1.0-5.0$544K
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%0.00.0$501K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$435K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes2.4%+0.3-1.5$426K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes27.2%+1.8+11.8$406K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$356K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.1%0.00.0$341K
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes3.9%+0.1-0.4$329K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.6%+0.1+0.1$323K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes55.5%+11.0+23.0$311K
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4%0.00.0$284K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes10.5%0.0-1.0$275K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes10.5%+1.0-8.0$264K
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos AlcarazMatteo Berrettini49.5%0.00.0$253K
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%0.00.0$250K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek KulambayevaMai Hontama70.5%-10.00.0$249K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes77.5%0.0+1.0$248K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.8%0.0+0.1$248K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu LiAnna Blinkova100.0%+11.50.0$246K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3.5%+1.5+1.1$243K
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.3%-0.10.0$229K
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.4%+0.1+0.1$224K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes34.5%+3.5+12.5$203K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.3%+3.4+10.8$198K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes21.5%0.0+1.0$194K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes94.5%+8.0+11.5$193K
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$191K
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsDplus KIA40.5%-1.00.0$189K