دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?Yes | 83.0% | +45.5 | 0.0 | $166K |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriElmer Moeller | 32.5% | -32.0 | 0.0 | $104K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 47.5% | +30.0 | +21.0 | $153K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 50.5% | -27.0 | -19.0 | $166K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica PegulaMarta Kostyuk | 14.5% | -24.0 | 0.0 | $554K |
| Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco ComesanaMarco Cecchinato | 23.5% | -19.0 | 0.0 | $578K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes | 10.5% | -16.0 | -18.5 | $110K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 25.5% | -15.0 | -13.5 | $272K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 3.5% | -14.9 | -18.9 | $2.3M |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 95.4% | +13.9 | +19.9 | $243K |