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دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق

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أكبر تحرك في الاحتمالات

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes71.5%+61.50.0$167K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas MachacArthur Fils100.0%+38.00.0$456K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes96.2%+11.2+46.2$149K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes89.5%+11.0+44.0$206K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes26.1%+8.6+10.6$462K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes12.7%+8.5+9.2$204K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes97.5%+8.0+47.4$163K
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes33.7%-6.3+1.1$201K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes11.5%-6.0-7.0$781K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes43.3%+5.4+2.8$169K

الأكثر تداولاً (24 ساعة)

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes2.6%-0.5-1.2$1.6M
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsGen.G92.5%+1.00.0$1.0M
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)Gen.G59.5%+5.00.0$817K
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.4%+0.2+0.2$783K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes11.5%-6.0-7.0$781K
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.9%+1.8+1.8$726K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes77.5%+3.0-2.0$523K
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.1+0.1$514K
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%0.00.0$500K
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%0.00.0$481K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes26.1%+8.6+10.6$462K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas MachacArthur Fils100.0%+38.00.0$456K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$431K
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$367K
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.5%+0.40.0$363K
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$352K
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.3%0.00.0$349K
Bucks vs. CelticsBucks17.5%-1.00.0$343K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.7%+0.1+0.1$328K
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.7%-0.3+0.3$319K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes21.5%-1.0+4.0$313K
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.1+0.2$310K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.5%-0.60.0$307K
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes4.0%0.00.0$280K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes41.5%+3.0+6.0$259K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$254K
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%0.00.0$250K
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.1+0.1$238K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes10.5%+1.0-8.0$228K
76ers vs. Pistons76ers44.5%-4.00.0$223K