دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?Yes | 0.1% | -61.5 | 0.0 | $491K |
| Wonju DB Promy vs. Seoul ThundersWonju DB Promy | 100.0% | +50.4 | 0.0 | $255K |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?Yes | 0.1% | -48.9 | 0.0 | $131K |
| India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs IndiaNew Zealand | 5.5% | -37.0 | -44.5 | $274K |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | 2.0% | -35.5 | -31.5 | $174K |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | 97.5% | +35.0 | +31.1 | $245K |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?Yes | 0.1% | -28.4 | 0.0 | $145K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca AndreescuAlice Tubello | 6.5% | -20.0 | 0.0 | $89K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 32.5% | -12.0 | -4.5 | $221K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 21.5% | -8.0 | -7.0 | $152K |