دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3.4% | -78.8 | -11.7 | $258K |
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?Yes | 93.5% | +67.0 | 0.0 | $194K |
| Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas BarriosJuan Pablo Varillas | 100.0% | +67.0 | 0.0 | $279K |
| Dota 2: CyberHero vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerCyberHero | 100.0% | +39.5 | 0.0 | $160K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 49.5% | +32.0 | +22.0 | $184K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 51.5% | -27.0 | -18.0 | $176K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 12.5% | -24.0 | -27.5 | $339K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes | 3.5% | -16.6 | -22.1 | $140K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 3.6% | -14.8 | -19.9 | $2.3M |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 95.5% | +13.1 | +21.1 | $231K |