دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3.4% | -77.6 | -2.9 | $261K |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Vitality | 84.5% | +42.0 | +43.5 | $152K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 47.5% | +30.0 | +23.0 | $184K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 52.5% | -26.0 | -20.0 | $181K |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group AVitality | 94.5% | +24.0 | +26.0 | $605K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 11.5% | -22.0 | -26.0 | $372K |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerVitality | 84.5% | +17.0 | +34.5 | $239K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 3.6% | -14.8 | -19.9 | $2.3M |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes | 4.5% | -14.0 | -24.9 | $145K |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 95.7% | +13.2 | +21.2 | $216K |