دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 6?Yes | 7.5% | -82.0 | 0.0 | $94K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?Yes | 91.5% | +45.0 | 0.0 | $141K |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 6?Yes | 0.3% | -20.3 | 0.0 | $89K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 53.5% | +20.0 | +13.0 | $148K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 22.5% | -18.0 | -13.0 | $94K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 34.5% | +13.0 | +9.0 | $509K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 65.5% | -12.0 | -7.0 | $1.1M |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 65.5% | -12.0 | -7.5 | $99K |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes | 25.4% | +10.7 | +19.9 | $141K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes | 26.5% | -9.0 | +1.0 | $224K |