دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 70.8% | +63.6 | 0.0 | $165K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes | 77.5% | +21.0 | +13.0 | $126K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?Yes | 51.0% | +14.5 | +15.5 | $106K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 48.5% | +12.5 | +15.0 | $306K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 9.5% | -10.0 | -5.0 | $143K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 44.0% | +9.5 | +9.5 | $113K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes | 93.5% | +8.0 | +45.0 | $198K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes | 96.8% | +5.8 | +19.3 | $153K |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | 8.0% | -5.5 | -5.5 | $105K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 26.4% | +4.8 | +10.9 | $373K |