دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuyama: Shunsuke Nakagawa vs David Jorda SanchisShunsuke Nakagawa | 99.5% | +79.0 | 0.0 | $174K |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam BroadyBilly Harris | 100.0% | +44.5 | 0.0 | $290K |
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?Yes | 3.7% | -11.8 | 0.0 | $555K |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 97.0% | +10.4 | +5.7 | $158K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 66.0% | +9.5 | +33.5 | $118K |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes | 81.0% | +9.2 | +60.5 | $101K |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 82.5% | +8.0 | +10.0 | $112K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 35.5% | -7.0 | -5.5 | $180K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes | 96.9% | +6.4 | +31.4 | $303K |
| Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?Yes | 10.5% | -6.0 | 0.0 | $144K |