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دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق

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أكبر تحرك في الاحتمالات

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes70.3%+60.00.0$169K
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth ScorchersSydney Thunder0.1%-54.40.0$142K
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Group StageGenOne0.1%-52.40.0$140K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra EalaTereza Valentova17.5%-20.00.0$336K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes4.5%-18.0-9.0$169K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes55.0%+10.0+22.5$339K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes94.5%+8.0+11.5$193K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?Yes49.5%+8.0+7.0$117K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes43.5%+7.5+6.0$108K
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?Yes63.5%+6.00.0$104K

الأكثر تداولاً (24 ساعة)

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin HalysTommy Paul100.0%0.00.0$694K
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.7%+1.5+1.6$628K
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%0.00.0$521K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes12.5%-1.0-5.0$448K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$435K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes2.4%+0.2-1.5$426K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes27.0%+1.9+11.5$402K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$356K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek KulambayevaMai Hontama82.0%+1.50.0$348K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.1%0.00.0$341K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes55.0%+10.0+22.5$339K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra EalaTereza Valentova17.5%-20.00.0$336K
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes3.9%+0.1-0.4$325K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.6%+0.1+0.1$323K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes10.5%0.0-1.0$291K
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4%0.00.0$284K
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos AlcarazMatteo Berrettini49.5%0.00.0$277K
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%0.00.0$250K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3.5%+1.4+1.4$243K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.5%-0.3-0.2$239K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes10.5%+1.0-9.5$225K
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.4%+0.1+0.1$223K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes77.5%-1.0+1.0$212K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes35.0%+3.0+13.0$211K
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsDplus KIA40.5%-1.00.0$206K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.3%+3.4+10.8$198K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes94.5%+8.0+11.5$193K
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$191K
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.4%+0.2+0.2$188K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes4.5%-18.0-9.0$169K