دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | 80.5% | +45.0 | +61.5 | $79K |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | 98.7% | +36.2 | +26.7 | $293K |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | 1.4% | -36.1 | -24.6 | $213K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 57.5% | +11.0 | +18.5 | $246K |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | 31.5% | -9.0 | -5.5 | $85K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes | 84.5% | +8.5 | +19.5 | $170K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 32.5% | -8.0 | -4.0 | $200K |
| Louisiana Tech vs. TroyLouisiana Tech | 70.5% | +5.0 | +10.0 | $100K |
| Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs | 65.5% | +5.0 | +10.0 | $80K |
| Spread: Florida (-5.5)Florida | 46.5% | -4.5 | -3.5 | $208K |