دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 74.4% | +69.9 | 0.0 | $167K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes | 38.5% | +13.0 | +13.0 | $165K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 14.5% | -12.0 | 0.0 | $152K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes | 98.1% | +8.6 | +24.6 | $155K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 48.5% | +8.5 | +14.0 | $319K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 10.5% | -8.0 | -8.0 | $749K |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 14.0% | +8.0 | +10.4 | $227K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes | 91.5% | +7.5 | +50.0 | $182K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes | 99.2% | +6.7 | +25.7 | $163K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 43.6% | +6.0 | +3.3 | $174K |