دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?Yes | 1.2% | -92.3 | -48.3 | $225K |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 0.7% | -72.5 | -56.8 | $108K |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 5?Yes | 0.5% | -63.0 | -48.4 | $123K |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?Yes | 36.3% | -62.7 | -55.2 | $118K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 54.0% | +21.5 | +20.5 | $155K |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?Yes | 0.1% | -18.7 | -34.9 | $194K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3.2% | -12.8 | -10.3 | $134K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 68.5% | -12.0 | -8.0 | $568K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 29.5% | +10.0 | +8.0 | $308K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes | 95.5% | +7.0 | +14.0 | $178K |