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دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق

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أكبر تحرك في الاحتمالات

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer CoppejansNicolai Budkov Kjaer0.1%-72.50.0$150K
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?Yes87.5%+40.00.0$125K
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group StageButterfly100.0%+40.00.0$167K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip MisolicFacundo Acosta100.0%+37.00.0$408K
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes55.5%+23.0+14.0$152K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes63.5%-14.0-8.0$876K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes4.3%-11.3-9.8$131K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes32.5%+11.0+6.0$336K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors39.5%-10.50.0$562K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes38.6%+7.2-1.3$353K

الأكثر تداولاً (24 ساعة)

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsDplus KIA41.5%0.00.0$1.1M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes63.5%-14.0-8.0$876K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors39.5%-10.50.0$562K
Magic vs. SunsMagic49.5%+1.00.0$546K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes26.5%+0.8+10.9$455K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$428K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip MisolicFacundo Acosta100.0%+37.00.0$408K
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere0.1%0.00.0$407K
Heat vs. WarriorsHeat39.5%+1.00.0$389K
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Dplus KIA26.5%+1.00.0$383K
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.6%0.00.0$376K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes0.8%+0.4+0.3$375K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes38.6%+7.2-1.3$353K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes0.4%+0.2+0.1$344K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.1%0.00.0$341K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes32.5%+11.0+6.0$336K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$316K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes44.5%+1.5+15.5$280K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)Jaguars49.5%-3.0+25.5$267K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes19.1%+2.0+2.3$267K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 38.5Over54.5%0.0-28.0$252K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes1.8%+0.1-0.1$240K
Blues vs. DevilsBlues32.5%-4.0-10.0$239K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4.3%-0.3-0.9$237K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes29.0%-6.5+3.5$229K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes12.5%+1.0-7.5$227K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.8%+0.30.0$216K
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 3 WinnerNatus Vincere99.6%0.00.0$216K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)Jaguars44.5%-2.0+21.5$213K
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes3.8%-0.3-0.1$211K