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دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق

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أكبر تحرك في الاحتمالات

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes70.4%+62.90.0$167K
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)Gen.G100.0%+45.50.0$1.1M
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerGen.G100.0%+18.40.0$3.4M
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerGen.G100.0%+18.40.0$2.9M
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerGen.G100.0%+18.40.0$2.7M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes97.9%+10.3+24.3$162K
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsGen.G100.0%+9.40.0$2.6M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes10.5%-8.0-8.0$787K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes90.5%+8.0+49.0$203K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes11.7%+7.4+8.1$225K

الأكثر تداولاً (24 ساعة)

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerGen.G100.0%+18.40.0$3.4M
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerGen.G100.0%+18.40.0$2.9M
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerGen.G100.0%+18.40.0$2.7M
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsGen.G100.0%+9.40.0$2.6M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes2.4%-0.7-1.5$1.6M
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)Gen.G100.0%+45.50.0$1.1M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes10.5%-8.0-8.0$787K
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.1+0.1$785K
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.9%+1.8+1.8$726K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes77.5%+3.00.0$525K
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.1+0.1$513K
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%0.00.0$500K
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%0.00.0$481K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$431K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes26.4%+7.0+10.9$425K
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.3%0.00.0$373K
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$370K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$356K
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$352K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.1%0.00.0$348K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.6%+0.1+0.1$328K
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.4%+0.30.0$313K
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.4%+0.3+0.3$310K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.4%-0.6-0.1$310K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes21.5%-2.0+2.0$299K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes45.5%+6.0+11.0$289K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes10.5%0.00.0$275K
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes3.8%+0.1-0.3$274K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$254K
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%0.00.0$250K