دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?Yes | 3.8% | -86.3 | -45.8 | $200K |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 0.3% | -67.5 | -57.2 | $109K |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 5?Yes | 0.3% | -54.7 | -48.8 | $116K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary StoianaSorana Cirstea | 100.0% | +22.4 | 0.0 | $503K |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5?Yes | 0.1% | -14.5 | -34.9 | $196K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3.2% | -11.8 | -10.3 | $139K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 71.5% | -10.0 | -5.0 | $461K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 27.5% | +9.0 | +6.0 | $221K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?Yes | 50.5% | +7.5 | +9.0 | $114K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 50.5% | +6.0 | +18.5 | $352K |