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دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق

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أكبر تحرك في الاحتمالات

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes76.8%+65.30.0$166K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra ShubladzeElena Pridankina75.5%+40.00.0$126K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes6.5%-13.5-7.0$160K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes50.5%+8.5+17.5$309K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes93.5%+8.0+13.5$179K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes43.5%+7.5+8.0$113K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?Yes1.2%-5.20.0$117K
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes6.5%-5.0-3.0$132K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes12.5%-3.0-6.0$692K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Yes51.5%+3.0+8.0$142K

الأكثر تداولاً (24 ساعة)

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes2.4%-0.6-1.1$1.5M
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.7%+1.5+1.5$814K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes12.5%-3.0-6.0$692K
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.1+0.1$505K
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%0.00.0$501K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$434K
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$370K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$356K
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$351K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.1%0.00.0$345K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia RuzicXinyu Wang38.5%0.00.0$344K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes26.1%+0.5+10.7$342K
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes3.5%-0.5-0.7$336K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.6%+0.1+0.1$327K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes50.5%+8.5+17.5$309K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes77.5%+2.0+1.0$307K
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4%0.00.0$281K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes10.5%0.0-1.0$277K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3.2%+0.1+0.8$256K
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%0.00.0$250K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.4%-0.7-0.3$238K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes9.5%+1.0-9.0$234K
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.10.0$230K
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.4%+0.1+0.2$229K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.2%+2.9+10.7$209K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes22.5%-1.0+1.0$205K
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.4%+0.3+0.6$191K
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$190K
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.4%+0.1+0.2$189K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes2.8%-1.8-1.8$188K