دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 67.5% | +56.3 | 0.0 | $166K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 5.5% | -14.0 | -8.0 | $184K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 53.5% | +13.0 | +21.0 | $313K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes | 94.5% | +8.0 | +11.5 | $189K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 44.5% | +8.0 | +7.0 | $110K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6.5% | -5.0 | -4.0 | $124K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes | 97.5% | +5.0 | +12.0 | $114K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 27.9% | +3.9 | +12.4 | $411K |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 14.3% | +3.6 | +10.8 | $202K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 43.1% | +3.4 | +2.8 | $126K |