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دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق

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أكبر تحرك في الاحتمالات

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes68.0%+58.10.0$165K
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre MullerCharles Broom0.1%-50.00.0$137K
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar JasikaJake Delaney0.5%-36.00.0$126K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes77.5%+15.5+9.0$114K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes6.0%-15.0-7.5$161K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes51.5%+13.0+18.5$308K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes93.0%+12.5+13.0$191K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes43.5%+8.5+8.0$113K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes96.9%+7.8+11.8$147K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes37.5%+7.0+15.5$179K

الأكثر تداولاً (24 ساعة)

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes2.4%-0.6-1.1$1.5M
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.5%+1.4+1.4$814K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes12.5%-3.0-6.0$695K
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.1+0.1$505K
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%0.00.0$501K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$435K
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$370K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$356K
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$351K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.1%0.00.0$347K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes26.1%+0.4+10.6$343K
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes4.3%+0.4+0.2$334K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.6%+0.1+0.1$327K
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.5%+0.1+0.3$316K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes51.5%+13.0+18.5$308K
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4%0.00.0$281K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes10.5%0.0-1.0$278K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes77.5%+2.0+1.0$255K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3.1%-0.3+0.7$253K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%-0.10.0$250K
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%0.00.0$250K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.4%-0.9-0.3$249K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes9.5%+1.0-9.0$238K
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.10.0$232K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.8%+2.9+11.3$218K
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.4%+0.3+0.6$216K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes21.5%-2.00.0$194K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes93.0%+12.5+13.0$191K
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$190K
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%+0.1+0.1$189K