دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 77.4% | +73.2 | 0.0 | $166K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 9.5% | -21.0 | -5.0 | $174K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes | 76.0% | +18.5 | +11.5 | $120K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 49.5% | +8.5 | +16.0 | $317K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 10.5% | -7.0 | -8.0 | $773K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes | 99.1% | +6.6 | +16.6 | $173K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 43.6% | +6.2 | +3.3 | $174K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?Yes | 95.6% | +6.1 | +18.1 | $162K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes | 90.5% | +6.0 | +42.0 | $198K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes | 34.5% | +4.0 | +7.0 | $173K |