دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 40.0% | +26.9 | 0.0 | $170K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 4.5% | -14.5 | -9.0 | $160K |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?Yes | 65.5% | +9.5 | 0.0 | $101K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes | 80.5% | +9.5 | +12.5 | $95K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 54.5% | +9.0 | +22.0 | $344K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes | 95.5% | +9.0 | +12.5 | $200K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?Yes | 50.5% | +8.5 | +8.0 | $116K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | 44.5% | +7.0 | +7.0 | $109K |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsFURIA | 65.5% | +6.0 | 0.0 | $161K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 6.5% | -5.0 | -3.0 | $123K |