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دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق

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أكبر تحرك في الاحتمالات

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip MisolicFacundo Acosta28.5%-38.00.0$143K
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?Yes86.5%+37.00.0$121K
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes53.0%+20.5+13.5$152K
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort - Map 2 WinnerButterfly68.5%+18.50.0$165K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes2.8%-12.7-10.7$127K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes66.5%-11.0-7.0$727K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes31.5%+10.0+8.5$324K
Heat vs. WarriorsHeat30.5%-8.00.0$133K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes94.5%+5.0+24.5$187K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes28.2%+4.0+12.8$439K

الأكثر تداولاً (24 ساعة)

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsDplus KIA41.5%0.00.0$1.0M
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes66.5%-11.0-7.0$727K
Magic vs. SunsMagic49.5%+1.00.0$496K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors51.5%+1.50.0$466K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes28.2%+4.0+12.8$439K
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere100.0%0.00.0$436K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$428K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes0.8%+0.3+0.3$374K
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)Dplus KIA26.5%+1.00.0$365K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$356K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes0.4%+0.2+0.2$343K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.1%0.00.0$341K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes31.5%+10.0+8.5$324K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes19.1%+2.0+3.0$267K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 38.5Over54.5%0.0-28.0$258K
M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Gavin Goode vs Johan Alexander RodriguezGavin Goode100.0%0.00.0$252K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes48.5%+4.0+14.5$249K
Blues vs. DevilsBlues32.5%-4.0-10.0$237K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4.4%-0.3-0.8$237K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes11.5%0.0-8.0$236K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.8%0.00.0$235K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper RuudJan-Lennard Struff15.5%0.00.0$221K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes34.4%+3.1-4.7$219K
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes3.8%-0.8-0.1$208K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes1.8%+0.1-0.1$204K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes34.0%-1.5+12.5$197K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero GormazCarole Monnet0.5%0.00.0$193K
Utah vs. CanadiensUtah53.5%+1.0+9.0$193K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes94.5%+5.0+24.5$187K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.6%+2.6+11.7$175K