دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 4?Yes | 97.6% | +87.1 | +39.6 | $216K |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?Yes | 100.0% | +54.4 | +23.4 | $192K |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 15.4% | +11.5 | +11.9 | $192K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 28.1% | +10.8 | +12.7 | $213K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes | 97.2% | +7.7 | 0.0 | $152K |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | 31.9% | -7.0 | -0.5 | $210K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 11.5% | -6.0 | -9.0 | $675K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 78.5% | +5.0 | +0.5 | $459K |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?Yes | 50.5% | +5.0 | +5.5 | $208K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 20.5% | -4.0 | +1.5 | $289K |