دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes | 60.3% | +49.8 | 0.0 | $167K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas MachacArthur Fils | 85.5% | +23.0 | 0.0 | $226K |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 14.1% | +9.9 | +10.6 | $194K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes | 89.5% | +9.0 | 0.0 | $206K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 24.3% | +7.0 | +8.9 | $243K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes | 97.6% | +6.6 | 0.0 | $162K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 11.5% | -6.0 | -7.0 | $817K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 44.5% | +6.0 | +9.0 | $245K |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | 33.5% | -5.5 | +1.5 | $204K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | 44.5% | +5.3 | +5.8 | $163K |