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دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق

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أكبر تحرك في الاحتمالات

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?Yes94.1%+36.60.0$106K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur RinderknechBen Shelton100.0%+27.00.0$562K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes3.5%-16.0-10.0$166K
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?Yes21.9%+10.50.0$123K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi AdkarAnastasia Zakharova95.5%+10.00.0$120K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?Yes50.5%+8.5+8.0$115K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes52.5%+8.0+20.0$345K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes95.5%+8.0+12.5$194K
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?Yes65.5%+8.00.0$109K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes44.5%+6.5+7.0$108K

الأكثر تداولاً (24 ساعة)

السوقالاحتمالتغير 24ستغير أسبوعحجم 24س
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.7%+1.4+1.5$628K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur RinderknechBen Shelton100.0%+27.00.0$562K
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3%0.00.0$521K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes28.8%-0.4+13.4$448K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%0.00.0$435K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes12.5%-1.0-5.0$431K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes2.4%+0.4-1.5$402K
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$356K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes52.5%+8.0+20.0$345K
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.1%0.00.0$341K
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes4.0%+0.4-0.2$327K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes10.5%0.0-1.0$297K
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.4%0.00.0$283K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 38.5Over54.5%0.0-28.0$255K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors52.5%0.00.0$252K
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.1%0.00.0$250K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1.8%0.0+0.1$244K
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsDplus KIA40.5%-1.00.0$240K
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3.6%+1.6+1.4$230K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes10.5%+2.0-9.5$228K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes33.5%+4.0+11.5$226K
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.4%+0.1+0.1$211K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes77.5%-2.0+1.0$200K
Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0.1%+0.1+0.1$199K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes95.5%+8.0+12.5$194K
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.8%+0.6+0.6$188K
Magic vs. SunsMagic47.5%-2.00.0$187K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes21.5%+1.00.0$180K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.3%+2.1+10.6$170K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes3.5%-16.0-10.0$166K