دراسة السوق عبر أسواق التنبؤ: أبرز توجهات Polymarket وأثرها المحتمل على الأسواق
| السوق | الاحتمال | تغير 24س | تغير أسبوع | حجم 24س |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes | 31.5% | -23.5 | +10.0 | $195K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | 53.5% | +23.0 | +20.0 | $158K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 3.3% | -13.3 | -10.3 | $128K |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 49.5% | -10.5 | +17.5 | $323K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 67.5% | -10.0 | -9.0 | $667K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 30.5% | +8.0 | +9.0 | $336K |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-05?Yes | 44.5% | +5.5 | +4.0 | $303K |
| Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-05?Yes | 31.5% | -5.0 | -3.0 | $152K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 27.0% | +4.2 | +11.5 | $422K |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?Yes | 60.5% | -4.0 | -0.5 | $420K |